Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 14.316343 16.690423 19.276029 22.293377 25.709746 29.449575 33.844756
2025-06-08 9.672744 12.740440 16.432649 21.166369 27.032871 34.020385 42.924103
2025-06-15 7.790562 11.283699 15.822379 22.064359 30.325237 40.772076 54.852897
2025-06-22 6.374818 10.021862 15.079613 22.454724 32.753724 46.419657 65.675192
2025-06-29 5.119393 8.687670 13.942413 22.021511 33.855640 50.234249 74.214580
2025-07-06 4.062444 7.421842 12.660500 21.124973 34.082694 52.717784 80.960488
2025-07-13 3.700070 7.176757 12.853295 22.392811 37.507782 59.898392 94.739985
2025-07-20 3.365683 6.910483 12.954290 23.489090 40.718117 66.937933 108.722279
2025-07-27 3.004338 6.527209 12.794970 24.115327 43.201719 73.004364 121.581508
2025-08-03 2.625668 6.040695 12.381970 24.246053 44.856463 77.853958 132.823308
2025-08-10 2.227660 5.440759 11.676722 23.771677 45.428315 80.981236 141.506039
2025-08-17 1.887670 4.894175 10.989987 23.236845 45.816604 83.787444 149.777880
2025-08-24 1.567039 4.349860 10.278012 22.665504 46.254677 86.981443 159.369051
2025-08-31 1.242209 3.725006 9.314333 21.510883 45.568471 88.300784 166.101257
2025-09-07 1.132907 3.599968 9.386151 22.419393 48.791670 96.601629 185.153476
2025-09-14 1.001294 3.384834 9.222413 22.814804 51.054781 103.336467 201.884289
2025-09-21 0.838253 3.039975 8.700762 22.375535 51.623444 107.024435 213.456124
2025-09-28 0.678017 2.654951 8.011084 21.466531 51.138463 108.701755 221.490333
2025-10-05 0.644983 2.652725 8.275665 22.751961 55.286449 119.339710 246.371949
2025-10-12 0.605961 2.621128 8.458500 23.863342 59.149390 129.647958 271.152685
2025-10-19 0.551388 2.521746 8.444010 24.498161 62.032800 138.213821 293.097744
2025-10-26 0.485469 2.361999 8.235790 24.630674 63.819817 144.715076 311.453958
2025-11-02 0.409667 2.139188 7.806489 24.149805 64.185295 148.379983 324.545591